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Diogo Costa Flies, Martínez Hooks Ronaldo, and Portugal Come From Behind to Beat Croatia in Toronto

Diogo Costa was decisive, Martínez subbed off Ronaldo, and technology ruled out a Croatian goal. Portugal 2–1 Croatia in Toronto — with drama right to the final whistle.

Original Golmetria data graphic about Croatia at the World Cup, in a premium data-journalism style; no real photos, no likeness of real people, and no crests.

Sometimes the World Cup is decided by millimetres — and Portugal knows that better than anyone right now.

The Portuguese side defeated Croatia 2–1, coming from behind, in Toronto, and secured their place in the round of sixteen. But the clean scoreline hides an afternoon full of nerves, controversy, and decisions that could easily have gone the other way.

The standout name of the match was Diogo Costa. The goalkeeper was decisive with interventions of every kind — with his hands, with his feet, on the ground and in the air. Without him, the story could have been very different.

And there was more: technology stepped in late in the game. A Croatian goal was ruled out by the narrowest of margins, and Croatian striker Matanovic himself acknowledged just how close the call was. "I felt a small contact with my hair," he said, according to A Bola — suggesting the difference was literally a hair's breadth.

Modric, captain and symbol of a Croatian generation reaching its end, did not hold back in his criticism of the refereeing. "They always go against us," he fired, according to Record. Even so, the veteran left the pitch proud of his team's performance.

On the Portuguese side, Roberto Martínez made a decision that turned heads: he took Cristiano Ronaldo off the pitch. The gamble paid off — Portugal turned the game around and advanced, according to Trivela.

Golmetria's model gives Portugal a 31.3% chance of reaching the quarter-finals and just over 4.8% of lifting the title. They are not the outright favourites, but they are alive — and with Diogo Costa in this form, anything is possible.

Modric's Croatia say goodbye to the World Cup. Portugal march on. And the question that lingers is: how far can this side go in the round of sixteen?