Football in numbers

GOLMETRIA

PT 🇧🇷 · EN 🇺🇸

← Back to analysis

Mbappé Becomes the All-Time Top Scorer in World Cup Knockout Games — and France Hasn't Even Reached the Round of 16 Yet

With two goals against Sweden, Mbappé becomes the all-time leading scorer in World Cup knockout matches and reaches six goals in the tournament. France face Paraguay in the round of 16.

Original Golmetria data graphic about news involving Argentina at the World Cup, in a premium data-journalism style; no real photos, no resemblance to real people, and no club crests.

Six goals. That's what Kylian Mbappé already has at this World Cup — and the tournament has barely started for France.

In a comfortable 3–0 win over Sweden, the French No. 10 found the net twice and became the all-time leading scorer in World Cup knockout matches, according to BBC Sport and Sky Sports. A historic record, set before the round of 16 had even arrived.

France didn't have to force it. They dominated. Three goals, a controlled performance, qualification secured. Now they wait for Paraguay in the last 16.

Golmetria's model gives Deschamps's side a 12.67% chance of lifting the trophy — a figure that sounds modest until you remember how many nations are still in the competition. Their probability of reaching the final stands at 23.81%. Argentina, the model's outright favourite at 19.81%, are watching from a distance — and paying close attention.

Mbappé matched Messi in some historical metric, according to Sky Sports, but what truly stands out is the pace of it all. Six goals before the round of 16 is the kind of number that makes the rest of the tournament nervous.

The question that lingers: how far does this France side go before someone finally manages to stop their No. 10?