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Messi leads, Mbappé lurks and Haaland is closing in: the Golden Boot race has never been this good

Messi has 7 goals and leads the Golden Boot race at the 2026 World Cup. Mbappé, Kane and Haaland are right behind him. Fontaine's all-time record looms on the horizon.

Original Golmetria data graphic about Argentina at the World Cup, in a premium data-journalism style; no real photos, no likeness of real people, no club crests.

Seven goals. That is the number that has put Lionel Messi back at the top of the 2026 World Cup scoring charts — and the race for the Golden Boot is turning into a spectacle all of its own.

The goal he scored in Argentina's victory over Cape Verde was enough for the Argentine superstar to open up a lead over Kylian Mbappé, who remains right on his heels. Harry Kane and Erling Haaland complete a quartet that is turning the World Cup into a private duel between giants.

And the historical milestones? They are falling one after another. Messi and Mbappé have already overtaken Miroslav Klose in the all-time World Cup scoring rankings. Kane has left Gary Lineker behind as England's all-time leading scorer at World Cups. Haaland, in just two matches, has already become the highest-scoring Norwegian in the competition's history.

The collective target is an ambitious one: the record of 13 goals in a single tournament, held by Just Fontaine since 1958. Only three players in history have reached double figures at a single World Cup — and none of them played in the modern era.

In Golmetria's model, Argentina remain one of the favourites for the title, with a 20.61% chance of lifting the trophy. France come in at 11.39%. Two countries, one superstar each — and both fighting for the same individual prize.

If Messi keeps up this pace, the 2026 World Cup could deliver not only a sixth Argentine world title, but also the greatest individual scoring haul in the tournament's history. The stage is set. All that is missing is the final act.