What the Team Index is
How we combine squad value, form, manager, and prediction-market odds into a single number.
The Team Index is our proprietary index: a way to summarise, in a single number, how strong a team is right now — not just on paper.
What goes into it
The index combines four components, each capturing a different dimension of a team's strength:
- Squad market value — the raw talent available to the manager.
- Recent form — results and underlying performance over recent matches, not just the league table.
- Manager rating — how much the work on the touchline adds to (or subtracts from) the squad.
- Prediction-market odds — what markets such as championship-winner markets price about the team's chances.
Each component is normalised and weighted; the result is a score that is comparable across clubs and over time.
What the index is — and isn't
The Team Index is a starting point for analysis, not a crystal ball. It synthesises information that already exists across scattered sources and makes it comparable. It does not predict a specific result, does not replace watching an actual match, and is not a betting recommendation. A team with a high index can still lose — which is precisely why a market exists.
How to read it
Use the index to spot trends and mismatches: a club whose form is rising but whose squad value is modest may be underrated; the reverse happens too. The useful question is never "who is better" but "where might the market be mispricing the size of the gap".
Use the index as a starting point, never as a certainty — and always bet responsibly.