Série B

Golmetria Index — Série B

Our strength rating (Elo, goals-based) next to the real Série B table and a season projection (promotion and relegation).

Season 2026 · 197 matches analysed · 5000 simulations · updated 2026-07-28

#	Club	Index	MP	Pts	GD	xPts	P10–P90	Title	Promotion	Releg
1	Criciúma	1695	20	40	+11	71.8	62–81	52%	87%	0%
2	Operário PR	1585	20	35	+3	63.3	53–73	11%	50%	0%
3	Novorizontino	1616	20	33	+13	62.2	53–72	9%	48%	0%
4	Juventude	1583	19	32	+9	61.1	51–71	8%	41%	1%
5	Vila Nova	1536	20	34	+3	60.5	51–70	6%	35%	1%
6	Atlético GO	1615	20	31	+3	59.8	50–70	5%	33%	1%
7	Fortaleza	1530	19	31	+3	58.4	48–69	4%	28%	2%
8	CRB	1559	20	29	-1	56.1	46–66	2%	18%	3%
9	Sport Recife	1551	20	29	+6	55.4	46–65	2%	17%	3%
10	Athletic Club	1519	19	27	+1	53.7	44–64	1%	13%	6%
11	Goiás	1472	20	29	-5	52.7	43–63	1%	8%	7%
12	Botafogo SP	1530	19	24	+4	51.5	41–62	1%	9%	10%
13	São Bernardo	1444	20	27	+5	49.4	40–59	0%	5%	13%
14	Cuiabá	1485	20	25	0	49.2	40–59	0%	4%	15%
15	Náutico	1445	20	25	0	48.1	39–58	0%	3%	18%
16	Ceará	1411	20	22	-5	43.3	34–53	0%	1%	40%
17	Avaí	1420	19	20	-5	42.6	33–53	0%	1%	45%
18	Londrina	1426	20	20	-4	42.3	33–52	0%	1%	45%
19	América Mineiro	1346	20	11	-17	30.1	21–39	0%	0%	93%
20	Ponte Preta	1231	19	8	-24	23.6	15–33	0%	0%	98%

xPts = expected points at season's end (P10–P90 is the likely range). Title / Promotion / Releg = probability of the title, promotion to Série A (top 4), and relegation. How the model works → Methodology

Where each club finishes — probability by final position (5000 simulations)

less likelymore likelyPromotionRelegation

Statistical analysis, not betting advice. 18+.