Série B

Golmetria Index — Série B

Our strength rating (Elo, goals-based) next to the real Série B table and a season projection (promotion and relegation).

Season 2026 · 194 matches analysed · 5000 simulations · updated 2026-07-27

#	Club	Index	MP	Pts	GD	xPts	P10–P90	Title	Promotion	Releg
1	Criciúma	1695	20	40	+11	71.7	62–81	46%	85%	0%
2	Operário PR	1627	19	35	+5	65.9	55–76	18%	61%	0%
3	Vila Nova	1579	19	34	+5	63.5	53–74	11%	50%	0%
4	Novorizontino	1616	20	33	+13	62.0	52–72	7%	45%	0%
5	Juventude	1583	19	32	+9	61.2	51–72	7%	40%	1%
6	Fortaleza	1530	19	31	+3	58.7	48–69	4%	29%	1%
7	Atlético GO	1574	19	28	+1	56.7	46–67	2%	20%	3%
8	Sport Recife	1559	19	28	+6	56.2	46–67	2%	19%	3%
9	Athletic Club	1519	19	27	+1	53.6	43–64	1%	12%	6%
10	CRB	1516	19	26	-3	52.9	43–63	0%	10%	7%
11	Goiás	1472	20	29	-5	52.8	43–63	0%	8%	7%
12	Botafogo SP	1530	19	24	+4	51.6	42–62	0%	8%	8%
13	São Bernardo	1444	20	27	+5	49.3	40–59	0%	4%	13%
14	Cuiabá	1477	19	24	0	49.2	39–60	0%	4%	16%
15	Náutico	1445	20	25	0	48.1	38–58	0%	3%	18%
16	Ceará	1411	20	22	-5	43.3	34–53	0%	1%	41%
17	Avaí	1420	19	20	-5	43.0	33–53	0%	1%	42%
18	Londrina	1426	20	20	-4	42.3	33–52	0%	0%	44%
19	América Mineiro	1346	20	11	-17	30.0	21–40	0%	0%	93%
20	Ponte Preta	1231	19	8	-24	23.7	15–33	0%	0%	98%

xPts = expected points at season's end (P10–P90 is the likely range). Title / Promotion / Releg = probability of the title, promotion to Série A (top 4), and relegation. How the model works → Methodology

Where each club finishes — probability by final position (5000 simulations)

less likelymore likelyPromotionRelegation

Statistical analysis, not betting advice. 18+.